作者
Hujuan Shi, Yihang Xia, Yiran Cheng, Pengcheng Liang, Mingmei Cheng, Baoliang Zhang, Zhen Liang, Yanzhong Wang, Wanqing Xie
发表日期
2025/6
期刊
European Heart Journal-Quality of Care and Clinical Outcomes
卷号
11
期号
4
页码范围
355-366
出版商
Oxford University Press
简介
Aims
Ischaemic heart disease (IHD) has been a significant public health issue worldwide. This study aims to predict the global burden of IHD in a timely and comprehensive manner.
Methods and results
Incidence, prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for IHD from 1990 to 2021 were derived from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database, and three models (linear, exponential, and Poisson regression) were used to estimate their trends over time at the global, regional, and national levels by age, sex, and country groups, with the gross domestic product per capita was applied to adjust the model. The model results revealed that the global burden of IHD is expected to increase continuously by 2050. By 2050, global IHD incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs are projected to reach 67.3 million, 510 million, 16 million, and 302 million, respectively …


